TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111210711411––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 74.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 3–10 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Vitalii Mukhin has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1322 vs Ovsiienko 1453
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 20% vs Ovsiienko 80%
Ovsiienko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 40% vs Ovsiienko 90%
Ovsiienko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin -4 · Ovsiienko +2
Mukhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Ovsiienko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 4.00 / Ovsiienko 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166141
Mukhin4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Ovsiienko1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 135 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it85% 110 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin2wins
AwayOvsiienko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOvsiienko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin1Ovsiienko9n = 10Ovsiienko took 9 of 10
S2Mukhin3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin4Ovsiienko6n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S4Mukhin2Ovsiienko2n = 4split evenly
S5Mukhin1Ovsiienko2n = 3Ovsiienko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinOvsiienkoM − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.238.2−10.0per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 325 vs 455 / 87751.7%51.9%168 / 325 vs 455 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoMukhin 4.00/Ovsiienko 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 09:35V. Mukhin26312741O. Ovsiienko43111011113
LAug 27 · 07:30V. Mukhin175390O. Ovsiienko331111113
LJul 13 · 06:00V. Mukhin4467111192O. Ovsiienko49111179113
LJul 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2393110O. Ovsiienko351111133
LJun 22 · 05:05V. Mukhin135350O. Ovsiienko331111113
LJun 21 · 12:10V. Mukhin125250O. Ovsiienko331111113
WJun 4 · 08:05V. Mukhin47513117113O. Ovsiienko45111151172
WMay 8 · 06:00V. Mukhin341211113O. Ovsiienko2510870
LApr 17 · 07:30V. Mukhin551014111192O. Ovsiienko53121677113
LApr 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin117220O. Ovsiienko331111113
V. Mukhin10
LSep 21 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.50481181O. Mytsyk1.5011112113LSep 21 · 06:35V. Mukhin4.336780S. Skhabitskiy1.201111113LSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113LSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590LSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 21 · 08:35O. Ovsiienko1.831111113S. Skhabitskiy1.831140WSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Smyk1.50119491O. Ovsiienko2.5081111113WSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113
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