TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611117611––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 2–3 Oleksandr Mytsyk Vitalii Mukhin has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1395 vs Mytsyk 1355
Mukhin
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 60% vs Mytsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 70% vs Mytsyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin -1 · Mytsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mukhin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.25 / Mytsyk 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Mytsyk)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13161384
Mukhin2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 28 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Mytsyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 159 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 117 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMukhin2wins
AwayMytsyk3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMytsyk leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin66.7%2 of 3
AwayMytsykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Mytsyk2n = 5Mukhin took 3 of 5
S2Mukhin3Mytsyk2n = 5Mukhin took 3 of 5
S3Mukhin1Mytsyk4n = 5Mytsyk took 4 of 5
S4Mukhin2Mytsyk1n = 3Mukhin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMukhinMytsykMukhin − MytsykBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.437.6−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 318 vs 539 / 108052.5%49.9%167 / 318 vs 539 / 1080Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMukhin 2.25/Mytsyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin42211711112O. Mytsyk46116115133
WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin4511158113O. Mytsyk364131181
WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin351212113O. Mytsyk29101090
LAug 27 · 09:00V. Mukhin235990O. Mytsyk331111113
LAug 6 · 04:30V. Mukhin32138651O. Mytsyk44111111113
V. Mukhin10
LSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192WSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181
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