TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113611118111––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Mukhin to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 72 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Vitalii Mukhin at 66.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 27–16 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mukhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Mukhin
Wrong
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1395 vs Semenets 1276
Mukhin
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Semenets 20%
Mukhin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 70% vs Semenets 20%
Mukhin
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +3 · Semenets +1
Mukhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mukhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.50 / Semenets 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mukhin)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161359
Mukhin1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 93 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it85% 69 of 81
Semenets2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin6wins
AwaySemenets4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMukhin leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin83.3%5 of 6
AwaySemenets75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin6Semenets4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S2Mukhin6Semenets4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S3Mukhin7Semenets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S4Mukhin3Semenets5n = 8Semenets took 5 of 8
S5Mukhin3Semenets3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinSemenetsM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.5+1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 318 vs 418 / 83552.5%50.1%167 / 318 vs 418 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.50/Semenets 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin291161111S. Semenets4313118113
WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin45611116113S. Semenets4311661192
WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin47116811113S. Semenets4571111972
WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin4011711113S. Semenets37911891
LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin4211126762S. Semenets529101111113
WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin561111912133S. Semenets49671114112
WAug 30 · 06:35V. Mukhin331111113S. Semenets146440
LAug 29 · 08:50V. Mukhin4176111252S. Semenets501111710113
WAug 18 · 07:30V. Mukhin381116113S. Semenets2351440
LAug 16 · 06:35V. Mukhin4581111962S. Semenets49118811113
V. Mukhin10
WSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192WSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113
S. Semenets10
WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192
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