TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155617
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Melnykov
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111181113112114
Serhii Semenets
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Melnykov to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Melnykov at 72.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 13–2 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Melnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-2 in 15
Melnykov
Correct
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1326 vs Semenets 1258
Melnykov
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 40% vs Semenets 0%
Melnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 40% vs Semenets 20%
Melnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov -2 · Semenets -6
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Melnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 1.36 / Semenets 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Melnykov)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155617
Melnykov1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 58 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Semenets3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 44 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov8wins
AwaySemenets2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMelnykov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov100%5 of 5
AwaySemenets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnykov6Semenets4n = 10Melnykov took 6 of 10
S3Melnykov8Semenets2n = 10Melnykov took 8 of 10
S4Melnykov3Semenets4n = 7Semenets took 4 of 7
S5Melnykov4Semenets0n = 4Melnykov took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovSemenetsM − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.3+3.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 534 vs 416 / 83245.9%50%245 / 534 vs 416 / 832Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykovMelnykov 1.36/Semenets 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Melnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov381116113S. Semenets2451450
WApr 12 · 17:50V. Melnykov521311116113S. Semenets4415761152
WDec 18 · 07:20V. Melnykov46561113113S. Semenets45111141182
WDec 17 · 22:50V. Melnykov3811511113S. Semenets31711671
LDec 11 · 13:50V. Melnykov28541361S. Semenets44111111113
WDec 10 · 22:50V. Melnykov44113118113S. Semenets4471161192
WNov 17 · 11:20V. Melnykov351212113S. Semenets26101060
LNov 16 · 18:50V. Melnykov32811851S. Semenets4211911113
WNov 11 · 09:00V. Melnykov331111113S. Semenets188550
WApr 17 · 06:50V. Melnykov50812811113S. Semenets45111011582
V. Melnykov10
LSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113LSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.804770V. Melnykov1.911111113LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450
S. Semenets10
LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192LSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450
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