TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911121061112101012
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 56.2%
103 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 25–17 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1244 vs Semenets 1249
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Semenets 0%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 70% vs Semenets 10%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi +4 · Semenets -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 1.67 / Semenets 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161210
Khavanskyi1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite39% won 24 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Semenets2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi7wins
AwaySemenets3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwaySemenets50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi6Semenets4n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khavanskyi3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Khavanskyi6Semenets3n = 9Khavanskyi took 6 of 9
S4Khavanskyi6Semenets1n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S5Khavanskyi2Semenets1n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiSemenetsK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.6+2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 318 vs 416 / 83350.9%49.9%162 / 318 vs 416 / 833Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKhavanskyi 1.67/Semenets 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 07:50D. Khavanskyi4391112113S. Semenets331181041
WSep 15 · 16:10D. Khavanskyi41111711113S. Semenets4571111972
LSep 13 · 07:05D. Khavanskyi176470S. Semenets331111113
WSep 9 · 11:35D. Khavanskyi4616811113S. Semenets311411421
LSep 4 · 14:00D. Khavanskyi4511135882S. Semenets539111111113
WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi331111113S. Semenets269980
WSep 1 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi49971111113S. Semenets3811116372
WAug 30 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi4113512113S. Semenets4111111091
WAug 26 · 10:00D. Khavanskyi46111311113S. Semenets38815871
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113
S. Semenets10
WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113
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