TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155466
Played Sep 19Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151311––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 17–27 Denys Khavanskyi Vladyslav Stukalov has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-27 in 44
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1178 vs Khavanskyi 1211
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 0% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Khavanskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -6 · Khavanskyi -1
Stukalov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.91 / Khavanskyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155466
Stukalov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 104 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 80
Khavanskyi1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite39% won 23 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov6wins
AwayKhavanskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov80%4 of 5
AwayKhavanskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Stukalov6Khavanskyi4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov7Khavanskyi3n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S4Stukalov2Khavanskyi4n = 6Khavanskyi took 4 of 6
S5Stukalov2Khavanskyi1n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.6+0.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 824 vs 158 / 31350%50.5%412 / 824 vs 158 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiStukalov 1.91/Khavanskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov351113113D. Khavanskyi2051140
WSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov49118113163D. Khavanskyi53811911142
WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov50981111113D. Khavanskyi4011114592
LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov44411118102D. Khavanskyi47115811123
LSep 3 · 09:35V. Stukalov176740D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 09:05V. Stukalov27711631D. Khavanskyi4211911113
WAug 29 · 09:20V. Stukalov4041411113D. Khavanskyi351112841
LAug 26 · 11:00V. Stukalov331161151D. Khavanskyi4271113113
WMay 30 · 08:30V. Stukalov331111113D. Khavanskyi199550
WMay 13 · 07:00V. Stukalov351111133D. Khavanskyi2559110
V. Stukalov10
WSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152LSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113LSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031LSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113LSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151WSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113LSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets1.8371111972D. Khavanskyi1.83111711113WSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680
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