TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136507
Played Sep 16Finished
Vasily Kondratenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11491116141210––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasily Kondratenko above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 87 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 65.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Kondratenko 1–0 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kondratenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kondratenko 1188 vs Khavanskyi 1215
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kondratenko 0% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kondratenko 10% vs Khavanskyi 50%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kondratenko -5 · Khavanskyi +1
Kondratenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kondratenko) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKondratenko 1.67 / Khavanskyi 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kondratenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13136507
Kondratenko1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Khavanskyi2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 21 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKondratenko1wins
AwayKhavanskyi0wins
Kondratenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKondratenkoKhavanskyiKondratenko − KhavanskyiBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.027.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKondratenkoKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 555 vs 158 / 31243.6%50.6%242 / 555 vs 158 / 312Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoKondratenko 1.67/Khavanskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kondratenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 30 · 06:30V. Kondratenko371115113D. Khavanskyi2751390
V. Kondratenko10
LSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113LSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151LSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113LSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets1.8371111972D. Khavanskyi1.83111711113WSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680LSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100LSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830
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