TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136602
Played Sep 16Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Vasily Kondratenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 1–2 Vasily Kondratenko Yevhenii Korotin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kondratenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1240 vs Kondratenko 1201
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 20% vs Kondratenko 0%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Kondratenko 10%
Korotin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -3 · Kondratenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kondratenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.20 / Kondratenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kondratenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136602
Korotin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 22 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Kondratenko1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKorotin1wins
AwayKondratenko2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKondratenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin1Kondratenko2n = 3Kondratenko took 2 of 3
S2Korotin1Kondratenko2n = 3Kondratenko took 2 of 3
S3Korotin2Kondratenko1n = 3Korotin took 2 of 3
S4Korotin0Kondratenko3n = 3Kondratenko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKorotinKondratenkoKorotin − KondratenkoBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.744.7−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 211 vs 243 / 55548.3%43.8%102 / 211 vs 243 / 555Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoKorotin 2.20/Kondratenko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 3 · 08:00Y. Korotin33117691V. Kondratenko4291111113
LMar 15 · 14:40Y. Korotin387131171V. Kondratenko441115993
WMar 5 · 16:40Y. Korotin517111111113V. Kondratenko4811961392
Y. Korotin10
LSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113WSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102LSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100WSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692
V. Kondratenko10
LSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113LSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151LSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123LAug 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko1.5311119113V. Kondratenko2.38991181
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