TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130791
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181187118111311
Oleh Miklukha
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Oleh Miklukha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 99 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 68.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 14–2 Oleh Miklukha Oleh Miklukha has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-2 in 16
Korotin
Correct
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1268 vs Miklukha 1166
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 60% vs Miklukha 20%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Miklukha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -1 · Miklukha -4
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Korotin) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.44 / Miklukha 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Korotin)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13130791
Korotin1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 16 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Miklukha2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 44 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin9wins
AwayMiklukha1wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKorotin leads 9–1, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin100%4 of 4
AwayMiklukha16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin4Miklukha6n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S2Korotin7Miklukha3n = 10Korotin took 7 of 10
S3Korotin6Miklukha4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S4Korotin6Miklukha4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S5Korotin6Miklukha1n = 7Korotin took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinMiklukhaK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.242.2+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinMiklukhaBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 207 vs 213 / 45848.8%46.5%101 / 207 vs 213 / 458Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinKorotin 1.44/Miklukha 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 28 · 17:10Y. Korotin5711111212113O. Miklukha55139101492
WMar 19 · 14:10Y. Korotin48119611113O. Miklukha4581111962
WMar 13 · 08:30Y. Korotin4181111113O. Miklukha32118671
WFeb 27 · 07:00Y. Korotin46941111113O. Miklukha3311113532
WFeb 19 · 08:30Y. Korotin5015177113O. Miklukha4713151181
LFeb 6 · 07:00Y. Korotin3961111472O. Miklukha48117811113
WJan 30 · 08:30Y. Korotin44511115123O. Miklukha45114911102
WJan 6 · 13:40Y. Korotin3911116113O. Miklukha33581191
WDec 16 · 14:40Y. Korotin49126911113O. Miklukha43101111472
WDec 14 · 13:10Y. Korotin39411112113O. Miklukha4111491162
Y. Korotin10
LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102LSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100WSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113LSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113WSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421WSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682WSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271LSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113
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