TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022506
Played Aug 27Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119911118––
Vasily Kondratenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 62.4%
79 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 25–14 Vasily Kondratenko Vasily Kondratenko has won 14 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-14 in 39
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1336 vs Kondratenko 1281
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 40% vs Kondratenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Kondratenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Kondratenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Klymenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.53 / Kondratenko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Klymenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022506
Klymenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 110 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 77 of 101
Kondratenko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko8wins
AwayKondratenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%4 of 4
AwayKondratenko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S2Klymenko7Kondratenko3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Klymenko6Kondratenko4n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Klymenko7Kondratenko3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S5Klymenko3Kondratenko1n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoKondratenkoKlymenko − KondratenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.738.7+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 849 vs 269 / 59451.5%45.3%437 / 849 vs 269 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.53/Kondratenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 06:00K. Klymenko—11511113V. Kondratenko—911781
WJul 30 · 06:35K. Klymenko—11119113V. Kondratenko—671141
WJul 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko—711119113V. Kondratenko—11781162
WJul 26 · 16:10K. Klymenko—341112113V. Kondratenko—111171092
WJul 15 · 09:30K. Klymenko—61111113V. Kondratenko—119971
WJul 13 · 09:30K. Klymenko—11311113V. Kondratenko—611681
WJul 10 · 09:00K. Klymenko—911611113V. Kondratenko—11811872
WJul 9 · 10:05K. Klymenko—11116113V. Kondratenko—471141
LJul 5 · 12:40K. Klymenko—1011891V. Kondratenko—12611113
LJul 3 · 11:30K. Klymenko—71214682V. Kondratenko—11101211113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722
V. Kondratenko10
LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123LAug 27 · 06:30O. Ovsiienko1.5791111113V. Kondratenko2.25116561WAug 27 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.508115101V. Kondratenko1.5011711123LAug 24 · 11:35V. Kondratenko2.508121321M. Khalenko1.50111411113LAug 24 · 09:35V. Korniichuk2.001111113V. Kondratenko1.736470
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