TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031317
Played Aug 28Finished
Vasily Kondratenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611611911––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVasily Kondratenko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Kondratenko 32–38 Oleksandr Mytsyk Vasily Kondratenko has won 32 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-38 in 70
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kondratenko 1276 vs Mytsyk 1371
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kondratenko 40% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kondratenko 40% vs Mytsyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kondratenko -1 · Mytsyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKondratenko 2.20 / Mytsyk 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031317
Kondratenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Mytsyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 175 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 131 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKondratenko3wins
AwayMytsyk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKondratenko50%2 of 4
AwayMytsyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kondratenko4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S2Kondratenko6Mytsyk4n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S3Kondratenko5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kondratenko2Mytsyk5n = 7Mytsyk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKondratenkoMytsykK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.5−2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKondratenkoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 597 vs 534 / 106845.2%50%270 / 597 vs 534 / 1068Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykKondratenko 2.20/Mytsyk 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 11:00V. Kondratenko—11261172O. Mytsyk—511119113
LAug 24 · 06:05V. Kondratenko—51111882O. Mytsyk—118811113
LAug 21 · 06:05V. Kondratenko—114120O. Mytsyk—1311143
WAug 12 · 12:05V. Kondratenko—61111113O. Mytsyk—114891
LAug 10 · 06:30V. Kondratenko—411871O. Mytsyk—11811113
LAug 9 · 16:30V. Kondratenko—811231O. Mytsyk—11611113
WAug 8 · 05:00V. Kondratenko—1111113O. Mytsyk—5720
LAug 6 · 11:00V. Kondratenko—9111171O. Mytsyk—11138113
WAug 3 · 11:30V. Kondratenko—1111113O. Mytsyk—6760
LJul 30 · 05:35V. Kondratenko—1171081O. Mytsyk—91112113
V. Kondratenko10
LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123LAug 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko1.5311119113V. Kondratenko2.38991181LAug 27 · 06:30O. Ovsiienko1.5791111113V. Kondratenko2.25116561WAug 27 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.508115101V. Kondratenko1.5011711123LAug 24 · 11:35V. Kondratenko2.508121321M. Khalenko1.50111411113LAug 24 · 09:35V. Korniichuk2.001111113V. Kondratenko1.736470
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172
Upcoming Matches
V. Kondratenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Mytsyk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.