TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031276
Played Aug 28Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116114118––
Vasily Kondratenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 58.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 13–15 Vasily Kondratenko Vladyslav Stukalov has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kondratenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Kondratenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1199 vs Kondratenko 1234
Kondratenko
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Kondratenko 20%
Stukalov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Kondratenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -2 · Kondratenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kondratenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.20 / Kondratenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kondratenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031276
Stukalov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 100 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Kondratenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 87 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 61 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov6wins
AwayKondratenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov75%3 of 4
AwayKondratenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov6Kondratenko4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Stukalov6Kondratenko3n = 9Stukalov took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKondratenkoS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.6−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 805 vs 267 / 59650.3%44.8%405 / 805 vs 267 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoStukalov 2.20/Kondratenko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov—71111113V. Kondratenko—116481
LAug 24 · 07:35V. Stukalov—6520V. Kondratenko—1111113
LAug 22 · 05:00V. Stukalov—91111942V. Kondratenko—118811113
LAug 21 · 07:35V. Stukalov—717551V. Kondratenko—111511113
LAug 19 · 05:30V. Stukalov—1110871V. Kondratenko—81211113
WAug 13 · 07:20V. Stukalov—1011813153V. Kondratenko—1271111132
WAug 12 · 08:35V. Stukalov—11511113V. Kondratenko—211981
WAug 10 · 11:00V. Stukalov—11113113V. Kondratenko—861191
WAug 8 · 07:00V. Stukalov—11711113V. Kondratenko—711781
WJul 30 · 08:35V. Stukalov—61111113V. Kondratenko—118781
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113
V. Kondratenko10
LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123LAug 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko1.5311119113V. Kondratenko2.38991181LAug 27 · 06:30O. Ovsiienko1.5791111113V. Kondratenko2.25116561WAug 27 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.508115101V. Kondratenko1.5011711123LAug 24 · 11:35V. Kondratenko2.508121321M. Khalenko1.50111411113LAug 24 · 09:35V. Korniichuk2.001111113V. Kondratenko1.736470
Upcoming Matches
V. Stukalov
V. Kondratenko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.