TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022518
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511112116911117
Vasily Kondratenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 84 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 37–32 Vasily Kondratenko Vasily Kondratenko has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-32 in 69
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1363 vs Kondratenko 1285
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Kondratenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Kondratenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +1 · Kondratenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.67 / Kondratenko 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13022518
Mytsyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 175 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it88% 85 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 131 of 170
Kondratenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back14% 9 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk6wins
AwayKondratenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKondratenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk6Kondratenko4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S3Mytsyk4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk6Kondratenko1n = 7Mytsyk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykKondratenkoM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.535.2+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1068 vs 270 / 59650%45.3%534 / 1068 vs 270 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.67/Kondratenko 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:05O. Mytsyk—118811113V. Kondratenko—51111882
WAug 21 · 06:05O. Mytsyk—1311143V. Kondratenko—114120
LAug 12 · 12:05O. Mytsyk—114891V. Kondratenko—61111113
WAug 10 · 06:30O. Mytsyk—11811113V. Kondratenko—411871
WAug 9 · 16:30O. Mytsyk—11611113V. Kondratenko—811231
LAug 8 · 05:00O. Mytsyk—5720V. Kondratenko—1111113
WAug 6 · 11:00O. Mytsyk—11138113V. Kondratenko—9111171
LAug 3 · 11:30O. Mytsyk—6760V. Kondratenko—1111113
WJul 30 · 05:35O. Mytsyk—91112113V. Kondratenko—1171081
LJul 8 · 05:35O. Mytsyk—71291182V. Kondratenko—1110116113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
V. Kondratenko10
LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113WAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123LAug 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko1.5311119113V. Kondratenko2.38991181LAug 27 · 06:30O. Ovsiienko1.5791111113V. Kondratenko2.25116561WAug 27 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.508115101V. Kondratenko1.5011711123LAug 24 · 11:35V. Kondratenko2.508121321M. Khalenko1.50111411113LAug 24 · 09:35V. Korniichuk2.001111113V. Kondratenko1.736470
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