TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155649
Played Sep 19Finished
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111113––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 62.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 2–0 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:34What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1214 vs Khavanskyi 1196
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Khavanskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Khavanskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi -1 · Khavanskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.44 / Khavanskyi 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155649
Kucheriavyi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 25 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Khavanskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKucheriavyi2wins
AwayKhavanskyi0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKucheriavyi leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKucheriavyiKhavanskyiKucheriavyi − KhavanskyiBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.032.5+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 115 vs 158 / 31440.9%50.3%47 / 115 vs 158 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiKucheriavyi 1.44/Khavanskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi341211113D. Khavanskyi2110830
WMay 31 · 08:20V. Kucheriavyi48911116113D. Khavanskyi4411981152
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 19 · 08:50V. Stukalov2.251110471V. Kucheriavyi1.5781211113LSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113LSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets1.8371111972D. Khavanskyi1.83111711113WSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830
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