TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155128
Played Sep 19Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181012411711––
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 59.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 7–7 Vadym Kucheriavyi Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kucheriavyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1204 vs Kucheriavyi 1200
Stukalov
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Kucheriavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Kucheriavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +2 · Kucheriavyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.25 / Kucheriavyi 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155128
Stukalov2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 104 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 80
Kucheriavyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 25 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov6wins
AwayKucheriavyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov66.7%6 of 9
AwayKucheriavyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov9Kucheriavyi1n = 10Stukalov took 9 of 10
S2Stukalov4Kucheriavyi6n = 10Kucheriavyi took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov4Kucheriavyi6n = 10Kucheriavyi took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov4Kucheriavyi2n = 6Stukalov took 4 of 6
S5Stukalov2Kucheriavyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.1+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 826 vs 47 / 11650.1%40.5%414 / 826 vs 47 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiStukalov 2.25/Kucheriavyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucheriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1711510V. Kucheriavyi351311113
LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov4512711692V. Kucheriavyi481011511113
LAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov34115991V. Kucheriavyi3851111113
WAug 1 · 07:00V. Stukalov341112113V. Kucheriavyi1951040
WJul 26 · 15:10V. Stukalov351311113V. Kucheriavyi2711790
WJul 19 · 17:10V. Stukalov50118911113V. Kucheriavyi4591111772
LJun 27 · 09:00V. Stukalov46166211112V. Kucheriavyi531411114133
WJun 21 · 13:10V. Stukalov52116911153V. Kucheriavyi46511116132
WJun 14 · 06:05V. Stukalov391117113V. Kucheriavyi2561540
WJun 7 · 16:40V. Stukalov4211117133V. Kucheriavyi358511111
V. Stukalov10
WSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152WSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113LSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031LSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113LSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151
V. Kucheriavyi10
LSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.