TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155754
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111131156111315
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 95 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 56.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 4–6 Denys Khavanskyi Oleh Stopin has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1211 vs Khavanskyi 1234
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 60% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 60% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin -1 · Khavanskyi +3
Khavanskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stopin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 2.10 / Khavanskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khavanskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155754
Stopin2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 14 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Khavanskyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 23 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStopin4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStopin66.7%4 of 6
AwayKhavanskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin6Khavanskyi4n = 10Stopin took 6 of 10
S2Stopin5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Stopin5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Stopin1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStopinKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.3−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 278 vs 161 / 31752.9%50.8%147 / 278 vs 161 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiStopin 2.10/Khavanskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:20O. Stopin4414118113D. Khavanskyi371271171
LAug 26 · 08:30O. Stopin331081141D. Khavanskyi4112117113
WAug 23 · 11:05O. Stopin351111133D. Khavanskyi2045110
LSep 6 · 09:05O. Stopin44111251062D. Khavanskyi517101112113
LAug 30 · 09:05O. Stopin1861020D. Khavanskyi341112113
LAug 23 · 08:05O. Stopin33711961D. Khavanskyi4111811113
WAug 9 · 09:35O. Stopin45115117113D. Khavanskyi4041161182
LJul 31 · 15:20O. Stopin25117251D. Khavanskyi3961111113
LJul 26 · 09:05O. Stopin341151171D. Khavanskyi4413119113
WJun 28 · 05:50O. Stopin331111113D. Khavanskyi164480
O. Stopin10
LSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111WSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580WSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113LSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142
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