TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155297
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115118––––
Oleh Stopin
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Stopin to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Oleh Stopin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 50 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleh Stopin at 71.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 0–7 Oleh Stopin Volodymyr Mykhalchenko has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Stopin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Stopin
Wrong
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1157 vs Stopin 1228
Stopin
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Stopin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Stopin 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -1 · Stopin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Stopin) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 3.00 / Stopin 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Stopin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155297
Mykhalchenko3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Stopin1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 51 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko0wins
AwayStopin7wins
1 of 7 to a deciderStopin leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStopin100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko2Stopin5n = 7Stopin took 5 of 7
S2Mykhalchenko0Stopin7n = 7Stopin took 7 of 7
S3Mykhalchenko2Stopin5n = 7Stopin took 5 of 7
S4Mykhalchenko1Stopin3n = 4Stopin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoStopinM − SBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match28.039.9−11.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoStopinBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 219 vs 146 / 27556.6%53.1%124 / 219 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StopinMykhalchenko 3.00/Stopin 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Stopin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 31 · 13:00V. Mykhalchenko346151121O. Stopin4611177113
LJul 8 · 13:00V. Mykhalchenko43119211102O. Stopin45811113123
LJul 4 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko175570O. Stopin331111113
LJun 28 · 16:40V. Mykhalchenko33144691O. Stopin45121111113
LJun 14 · 13:10V. Mykhalchenko32681171O. Stopin4011117113
LMay 22 · 14:30V. Mykhalchenko2676130O. Stopin371111153
LOct 4 · 05:35V. Mykhalchenko111550O. Stopin331111113
V. Mykhalchenko10
LSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111WSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko1.4011912113M. Tkalich2.758111061WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782
O. Stopin10
WSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880WSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113WAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.