Dmytro Kunchurov vs Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13084321

Played Sep 6Finished

Dmytro Kunchurov

Home

4.33

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116116911119––

Volodymyr Mykhalchenko

Away

1.20

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%

Graded at full time

Volodymyr Mykhalchenko to win

84.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 84.6%

74 points played in total.

H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 2–11 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Dmytro Kunchurov has won 2 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 19:59

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.20 (78%)

Mykhalchenko

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-11 in 13

Mykhalchenko

Wrong

gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kunchurov 960 vs Mykhalchenko 1145

Mykhalchenko

Wrong

both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kunchurov 100% vs Mykhalchenko 100%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kunchurov 70% vs Mykhalchenko 90%

Mykhalchenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kunchurov +5 · Mykhalchenko +5

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mykhalchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKunchurov 4.33 / Mykhalchenko 1.20

Signal prob.15% / 85%

Edge (Mykhalchenko)+6.3pp

Setka Cup · #13084321

Kunchurov4.33

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog29% won 37 of 126

Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54

Mykhalchenko1.20

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 6

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite72% won 38 of 53

Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKunchurov2wins

AwayMykhalchenko8wins

2 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayMykhalchenko87.5%7 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kunchurov2Mykhalchenko8n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10

S2Kunchurov1Mykhalchenko9n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10

S3Kunchurov4Mykhalchenko6n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10

S4Kunchurov3Mykhalchenko3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricKunchurovMykhalchenkoK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.938.9−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKunchurovMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 205 vs 131 / 23339%56.2%80 / 205 vs 131 / 233Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mykhalchenko

Kunchurov 4.33/Mykhalchenko 1.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

84.6%

Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kunchurov won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov—11119113V. Mykhalchenko—661191

WSep 5 · 06:30D. Kunchurov—791111113V. Mykhalchenko—11116672

LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov—71170V. Mykhalchenko—1113113

LAug 28 · 14:00D. Kunchurov—541251V. Mykhalchenko—111110113

LAug 23 · 17:30D. Kunchurov—6101181V. Mykhalchenko—11128113

LAug 22 · 10:50D. Kunchurov—8490V. Mykhalchenko—1111113

LJul 22 · 18:30D. Kunchurov—1061381V. Mykhalchenko—121111113

LJul 12 · 14:10D. Kunchurov—12590V. Mykhalchenko—1411113

LJun 14 · 14:10D. Kunchurov—12661162V. Mykhalchenko—1011116113

LMay 22 · 12:30D. Kunchurov—1790V. Mykhalchenko—1111113

D. Kunchurov10

LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133 WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550 WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982 WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162 WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113 WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113 LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102 WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113 LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113 LAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133

V. Mykhalchenko10

WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102 WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782 WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153 WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580 WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551 WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113 WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133 LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113 WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113 WAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113

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