TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079161
Played Sep 5Finished
Kyryl Vernudin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181199117111210
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Vernudin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingKyryl Vernudin above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Kyryl Vernudin at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Vernudin 2–2 Dmytro Kunchurov Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kunchurov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vernudin 955 vs Kunchurov 893
Vernudin
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vernudin 80% vs Kunchurov 40%
Vernudin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vernudin 60% vs Kunchurov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vernudin +4 · Kunchurov +1
Vernudin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vernudin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVernudin 1.83 / Kunchurov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vernudin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079161
Vernudin1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kunchurov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVernudin2wins
AwayKunchurov2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVernudinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKunchurov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vernudin1Kunchurov3n = 4Kunchurov took 3 of 4
S2Vernudin3Kunchurov1n = 4Vernudin took 3 of 4
S3Vernudin3Kunchurov1n = 4Vernudin took 3 of 4
S4Vernudin1Kunchurov3n = 4Kunchurov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVernudinKunchurovV − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match44.047.8−3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVernudinKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 38 vs 74 / 19834.2%37.4%13 / 38 vs 74 / 198Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VernudinVernudin 1.83/Kunchurov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vernudin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vernudin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 04:30K. Vernudin—931771D. Kunchurov—111115113
WAug 22 · 09:50K. Vernudin—71111113D. Kunchurov—117781
WAug 18 · 16:10K. Vernudin—111293183D. Kunchurov—7101111162
LJul 12 · 12:09K. Vernudin—813121042D. Kunchurov—11111012113
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113LAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771LAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113WAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.