TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037726
Played Aug 29Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191131517117––
Kyryl Vernudin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Vernudin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Kyryl Vernudin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 84 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Kyryl Vernudin at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 1–2 Kyryl Vernudin Dmytro Kunchurov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vernudin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 890 vs Vernudin 883
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 60% vs Vernudin 40%
Kunchurov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 40% vs Vernudin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov +2 · Vernudin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vernudin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vernudin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.83 / Vernudin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vernudin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037726
Kunchurov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vernudin1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKunchurov1wins
AwayVernudin2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVernudin leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov2Vernudin1n = 3Kunchurov took 2 of 3
S2Kunchurov0Vernudin3n = 3Vernudin took 3 of 3
S3Kunchurov1Vernudin2n = 3Vernudin took 2 of 3
S4Kunchurov2Vernudin1n = 3Kunchurov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKunchurovVernudinK − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match47.746.7+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovVernudinBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 192 vs 8 / 3137%25.8%71 / 192 vs 8 / 31Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VernudinKunchurov 1.83/Vernudin 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vernudin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 22 · 09:50D. Kunchurov—117781K. Vernudin—71111113
LAug 18 · 16:10D. Kunchurov—7101111162K. Vernudin—111293183
WJul 12 · 12:09D. Kunchurov—11111012113K. Vernudin—813121042
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113LAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
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