TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037579
Played Aug 29Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113711––––
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 60 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 85.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 0–10 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Dmytro Kunchurov has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-10 in 10
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 886 vs Mykhalchenko 1116
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 230 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 60% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 60% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov -1 · Mykhalchenko +3
Mykhalchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 4.50 / Mykhalchenko 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037579
Kunchurov4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 35 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back12% 10 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Mykhalchenko1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKunchurov0wins
AwayMykhalchenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMykhalchenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov1Mykhalchenko9n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S2Kunchurov1Mykhalchenko9n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S3Kunchurov3Mykhalchenko7n = 10Mykhalchenko took 7 of 10
S4Kunchurov1Mykhalchenko4n = 5Mykhalchenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKunchurovMykhalchenkoK − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.239.8−10.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 196 vs 132 / 24137.2%54.8%73 / 196 vs 132 / 241Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoKunchurov 4.50/Mykhalchenko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 14:00D. Kunchurov—541251V. Mykhalchenko—111110113
LAug 23 · 17:30D. Kunchurov—6101181V. Mykhalchenko—11128113
LAug 22 · 10:50D. Kunchurov—8490V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LJul 22 · 18:30D. Kunchurov—1061381V. Mykhalchenko—121111113
LJul 12 · 14:10D. Kunchurov—12590V. Mykhalchenko—1411113
LJun 14 · 14:10D. Kunchurov—12661162V. Mykhalchenko—1011116113
LMay 22 · 12:30D. Kunchurov—1790V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LMay 9 · 16:00D. Kunchurov—8880V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LApr 25 · 05:00D. Kunchurov—4147111V. Mykhalchenko—111211133
LMar 1 · 09:05D. Kunchurov—97130V. Mykhalchenko—1111153
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113
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