TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078971
Played Sep 5Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
9.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711117811––
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 91.8% is still 91.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
91.8%
91.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 91.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 0–6 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 779 vs Mykhalchenko 1130
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 350 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 30% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko -1 · Mykhalchenko +4
Mykhalchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 9.00 / Mykhalchenko 1.04
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.2pp
Setka Cup · #13078971
Mykhailenko9.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 18 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Mykhalchenko1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 34 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMykhailenko0wins
AwayMykhalchenko6wins
Mykhalchenko leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMykhalchenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko0Mykhalchenko6n = 6Mykhalchenko took 6 of 6
S2Mykhailenko1Mykhalchenko5n = 6Mykhalchenko took 5 of 6
S3Mykhailenko1Mykhalchenko5n = 6Mykhalchenko took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoMykhalchenkoMykhailenko − MykhalchenkoBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match22.335.2−12.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 83 vs 129 / 23324.1%55.4%20 / 83 vs 129 / 233Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match30.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhailenko 9.00/Mykhalchenko 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.8%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—7770V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LAug 28 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko—6630V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LAug 23 · 16:00M. Mykhailenko—9380V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LJul 12 · 13:10M. Mykhailenko—2611141V. Mykhalchenko—11112163
LMay 2 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—611541V. Mykhalchenko—11611113
LApr 25 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—5680V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113LAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.2511881162D. Kunchurov1.57711112113
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770
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