TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084145
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Zaiats
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8116111181315––
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zaiats above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 83 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 69.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zaiats 0–2 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Mykola Zaiats has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zaiats 753 vs Mykhalchenko 1148
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 394 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaiats 20% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaiats 30% vs Mykhalchenko 90%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaiats -4 · Mykhalchenko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mykhalchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaiats 2.20 / Mykhalchenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084145
Zaiats2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 2 of 4
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Mykhalchenko1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 42 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZaiats0wins
AwayMykhalchenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZaiatsMykhalchenkoZ − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match50.054.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaiatsMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 8 vs 131 / 23312.5%56.2%1 / 8 vs 131 / 233Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoZaiats 2.20/Mykhalchenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats—8611131V. Mykhalchenko—11118153
LSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats—9161511112V. Mykhalchenko—1118138133
M. Zaiats10
WSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133LSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 05:35M. Zaiats1.678750M. Tkalich2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133WMar 24 · 07:35A. Borysov—691391M. Zaiats—111111113LMar 24 · 06:25B. Buriak—41111113M. Zaiats—115941LMar 23 · 12:50M. Zaiats—1191191I. Yanishevskiy—81113113
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
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