TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084037
Played Sep 6Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11991111131113––
Mykola Zaiats
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
0–7Last 7Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Mykola Zaiats below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 88 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 64.5%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kunchurov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 960 vs Zaiats 642
Kunchurov
Wrong
both rated, 318 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 100% vs Zaiats 0%
Kunchurov
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 70% vs Zaiats 0%
Kunchurov
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov +5 · Zaiats -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaiats form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.73 / Zaiats 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kunchurov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084037
Kunchurov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 32 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Zaiats2.00
0%won 0 of 7 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovZaiatsBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 205 vs 0 / 739%0%80 / 205 vs 0 / 7Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKunchurov 1.73/Zaiats 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zaiats won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kunchurov10
WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113LAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133
M. Zaiats10
LSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153LSep 6 · 05:35M. Zaiats1.678750M. Tkalich2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133WMar 24 · 07:35A. Borysov—691391M. Zaiats—111111113LMar 24 · 06:25B. Buriak—41111113M. Zaiats—115941LMar 23 · 12:50M. Zaiats—1191191I. Yanishevskiy—81113113
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