TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079163
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119611611711
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 86.8% is still 86.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
86.8%
86.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 86.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 11–2 Dmytro Kunchurov Dmytro Kunchurov has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1148 vs Kunchurov 940
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 100% vs Kunchurov 40%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Kunchurov 50%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +5 · Kunchurov -2
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.14 / Kunchurov 5.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+5.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079163
Mykhalchenko1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 42 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Kunchurov5.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko8wins
AwayKunchurov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko8Kunchurov2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko9Kunchurov1n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko6Kunchurov4n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10
S4Mykhalchenko3Kunchurov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.931.9+7.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 233 vs 80 / 20656.2%38.8%131 / 233 vs 80 / 206Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.14/Kunchurov 5.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
86.8%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:35V. Mykhalchenko—661191D. Kunchurov—11119113
LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko—11116672D. Kunchurov—791111113
WAug 29 · 10:30V. Mykhalchenko—1113113D. Kunchurov—71170
WAug 28 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko—111110113D. Kunchurov—541251
WAug 23 · 17:30V. Mykhalchenko—11128113D. Kunchurov—6101181
WAug 22 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—8490
WJul 22 · 18:30V. Mykhalchenko—121111113D. Kunchurov—1061381
WJul 12 · 14:10V. Mykhalchenko—1411113D. Kunchurov—12590
WJun 14 · 14:10V. Mykhalchenko—1011116113D. Kunchurov—12661162
WMay 22 · 12:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—1790
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113LAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133
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