TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037893
Played Aug 29Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111113––––
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Mykhailo Mykhailenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 58.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 7–7 Mykhailo Mykhailenko Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kunchurov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 907 vs Mykhailenko 767
Kunchurov
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 80% vs Mykhailenko 20%
Kunchurov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 60% vs Mykhailenko 40%
Kunchurov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov +1 · Mykhailenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.50 / Mykhailenko 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Kunchurov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037893
Kunchurov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 32 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Mykhailenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 16 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKunchurov5wins
AwayMykhailenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurov66.7%2 of 3
AwayMykhailenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov3Mykhailenko7n = 10Mykhailenko took 7 of 10
S2Kunchurov7Mykhailenko3n = 10Kunchurov took 7 of 10
S3Kunchurov6Mykhailenko4n = 10Kunchurov took 6 of 10
S4Kunchurov2Mykhailenko4n = 6Mykhailenko took 4 of 6
S5Kunchurov2Mykhailenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKunchurovMykhailenkoK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.1−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovMykhailenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 195 vs 19 / 8137.4%23.5%73 / 195 vs 19 / 81Avg sets wonper match1.71.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.430.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKunchurov 1.50/Mykhailenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhailenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kunchurov—711112113M. Mykhailenko—11881162
LAug 23 · 12:30D. Kunchurov—11139392M. Mykhailenko—9111111113
LAug 18 · 14:10D. Kunchurov—481181M. Mykhailenko—11113113
LAug 15 · 07:00D. Kunchurov—61390M. Mykhailenko—1115113
LJul 19 · 08:35D. Kunchurov—6770M. Mykhailenko—1111113
WJul 12 · 11:10D. Kunchurov—811811113M. Mykhailenko—11911652
WJun 20 · 09:00D. Kunchurov—1212113M. Mykhailenko—101040
WJun 4 · 14:40D. Kunchurov—91311113M. Mykhailenko—1111841
WMay 10 · 08:05D. Kunchurov—1111113M. Mykhailenko—5880
LApr 25 · 08:00D. Kunchurov—81111482M. Mykhailenko—117711113
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113LAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.2511881162D. Kunchurov1.57711112113
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