TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037674
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Mykhailo Mykhailenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 91.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 6–0 Mykhailo Mykhailenko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1130 vs Mykhailenko 779
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 350 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 60% vs Mykhailenko 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Mykhailenko 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -1 · Mykhailenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.06 / Mykhailenko 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.7pp
Setka Cup · #13037674
Mykhalchenko1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 34 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Mykhailenko8.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 18 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko6wins
AwayMykhailenko0wins
Mykhalchenko leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko100%6 of 6
AwayMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko6Mykhailenko0n = 6Mykhalchenko took 6 of 6
S2Mykhalchenko5Mykhailenko1n = 6Mykhalchenko took 5 of 6
S3Mykhalchenko5Mykhailenko1n = 6Mykhalchenko took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home467%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoMykhailenkoMykhalchenko − MykhailenkoBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match35.222.3+12.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoMykhailenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 237 vs 20 / 8355.3%24.1%131 / 237 vs 20 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.11.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.830.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.06/Mykhailenko 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113M. Mykhailenko—7770
WAug 28 · 13:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113M. Mykhailenko—6630
WAug 23 · 16:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113M. Mykhailenko—9380
WJul 12 · 13:10V. Mykhalchenko—11112163M. Mykhailenko—2611141
WMay 2 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko—11611113M. Mykhailenko—611541
WApr 25 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113M. Mykhailenko—5680
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.2511881162D. Kunchurov1.57711112113
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