TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084676
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115118––––
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Kostiantyn Tsoi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 49 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 83.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 10–1 Kostiantyn Tsoi Kostiantyn Tsoi has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1148 vs Tsoi 866
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 282 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Tsoi 60%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Tsoi 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +3 · Tsoi -1
Mykhalchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsoi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.14 / Tsoi 5.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084676
Mykhalchenko1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 42 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Tsoi5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog12% won 3 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko9wins
AwayTsoi1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko100%8 of 8
AwayTsoin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko8Tsoi2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko8Tsoi2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko10Tsoi0n = 10Mykhalchenko took 10 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoTsoiM − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.724.8+10.9per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoTsoiBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 233 vs 28 / 9756.2%28.9%131 / 233 vs 28 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.032.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.14/Tsoi 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko—1111113K. Tsoi—3580
WMay 9 · 14:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113K. Tsoi—7880
LJan 18 · 07:05V. Mykhalchenko—981451K. Tsoi—111112113
WSep 27 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111133K. Tsoi—17110
WSep 20 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113K. Tsoi—6670
WAug 30 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113K. Tsoi—6950
WAug 23 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113K. Tsoi—6470
WAug 16 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—1116103K. Tsoi—61480
WAug 2 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko—691111113K. Tsoi—11116912
WJul 26 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1114113K. Tsoi—21290
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
K. Tsoi10
LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00111141192K. Tsoi1.14135119113WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133LAug 15 · 05:00D. Kunchurov1.801112113K. Tsoi1.9141070WJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko4.336780K. Tsoi1.201111113
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