TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435897
Played Aug 15Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210117––––
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Kostiantyn Tsoi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 23–22 Kostiantyn Tsoi Kostiantyn Tsoi has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-22 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 930 vs Tsoi 887
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 0% vs Tsoi 20%
Tsoi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 0% vs Tsoi 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov -5 · Tsoi +1
Kunchurov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kunchurov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsoi form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.80 / Tsoi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kunchurov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12435897
Kunchurov1.80
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite58% won 28 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Tsoi1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog9% won 2 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKunchurov6wins
AwayTsoi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKunchurov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurov83.3%5 of 6
AwayTsoi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov6Tsoi4n = 10Kunchurov took 6 of 10
S2Kunchurov5Tsoi5n = 10split evenly
S3Kunchurov8Tsoi2n = 10Kunchurov took 8 of 10
S4Kunchurov4Tsoi4n = 8split evenly
S5Kunchurov1Tsoi2n = 3Tsoi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKunchurovTsoiK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.2+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovTsoiBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 167 vs 36 / 11737.7%30.8%63 / 167 vs 36 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.433.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKunchurov 1.80/Tsoi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 07:00D. Kunchurov—771111113K. Tsoi—11117492
WMay 9 · 18:30D. Kunchurov—11119153K. Tsoi—5911131
WApr 18 · 06:35D. Kunchurov—11511123K. Tsoi—7115101
WApr 11 · 11:30D. Kunchurov—1111113K. Tsoi—8610
LMar 29 · 08:35D. Kunchurov—91113892K. Tsoi—1181111113
LMar 21 · 10:30D. Kunchurov—871191K. Tsoi—11117113
WMar 7 · 08:35D. Kunchurov—11811113K. Tsoi—611991
WJun 21 · 05:30D. Kunchurov—1111113K. Tsoi—8470
LJun 15 · 13:10D. Kunchurov—91111652K. Tsoi—117611113
LMay 3 · 07:00D. Kunchurov—11111091K. Tsoi—61312113
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
K. Tsoi10
LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00111141192K. Tsoi1.14135119113WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133WJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko4.336780K. Tsoi1.201111113
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