TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435593
Played Aug 15Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113115411119911
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 81.4% is still 81.4%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Tsoi to win
81.4%
81.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Kostiantyn Tsoi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Tsoi at 81.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 0–3 Kostiantyn Tsoi Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Tsoi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Tsoi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 806 vs Tsoi 893
Tsoi
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Tsoi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 30% vs Tsoi 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko +1 · Tsoi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Tsoi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsoi form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 5.00 / Tsoi 1.14
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Tsoi)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435593
Mykhailenko5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 10 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Tsoi1.14
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 8 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMykhailenko0wins
AwayTsoi3wins
Tsoi leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTsoi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko0Tsoi3n = 3Tsoi took 3 of 3
S2Mykhailenko1Tsoi2n = 3Tsoi took 2 of 3
S3Mykhailenko0Tsoi3n = 3Tsoi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoTsoiM − TBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match24.736.7−12.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoTsoiBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 60 vs 35 / 11421.7%30.7%13 / 60 vs 35 / 114Avg sets wonper match1.21.4per matchAvg pointsper match30.733.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsoiMykhailenko 5.00/Tsoi 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Tsoi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tsoi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko—6780K. Tsoi—1111113
LApr 11 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko—3111181K. Tsoi—11913113
LMar 29 · 07:35M. Mykhailenko—8570K. Tsoi—1111113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113LAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592
K. Tsoi10
LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133LAug 15 · 05:00D. Kunchurov1.801112113K. Tsoi1.9141070WJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko4.336780K. Tsoi1.201111113
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