TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084232
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Zaiats
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
0–6Last 6Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411114811411––
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Tsoi to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zaiats above · Kostiantyn Tsoi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Tsoi at 62.8%
64 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zaiats 0–1 Kostiantyn Tsoi Mykola Zaiats has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zaiats
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zaiats 642 vs Tsoi 880
Tsoi
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaiats 0% vs Tsoi 40%
Tsoi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaiats 0% vs Tsoi 50%
Tsoi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaiats -5 · Tsoi -1
Zaiats
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zaiats) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsoi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaiats 1.80 / Tsoi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zaiats)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084232
Zaiats1.80
0%won 0 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 3 of 6
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tsoi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog9% won 2 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZaiats0wins
AwayTsoi1wins
Tsoi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZaiatsTsoiZ − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.037.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaiatsTsoiBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 7 vs 28 / 960%29.2%0 / 7 vs 28 / 96Avg sets wonper match1.31.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.332.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaiatsZaiats 1.80/Tsoi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zaiats · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tsoi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats—411841K. Tsoi—11411113
M. Zaiats10
WSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133LSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153LSep 6 · 05:35M. Zaiats1.678750M. Tkalich2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133WMar 24 · 07:35A. Borysov—691391M. Zaiats—111111113LMar 24 · 06:25B. Buriak—41111113M. Zaiats—115941LMar 23 · 12:50M. Zaiats—1191191I. Yanishevskiy—81113113
K. Tsoi10
LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00111141192K. Tsoi1.14135119113WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133LAug 15 · 05:00D. Kunchurov1.801112113K. Tsoi1.9141070WJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko4.336780K. Tsoi1.201111113
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