TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084006
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Zaiats
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
0–3Last 3Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Maksym Tkalich
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Zaiats to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Zaiats above · Maksym Tkalich below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Mykola Zaiats at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zaiats
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zaiats 0% vs Tkalich 20%
Tkalich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaiats 0% vs Tkalich 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaiats -3 · Tkalich -2
Zaiats
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zaiats) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkalich form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaiats 1.67 / Tkalich 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zaiats)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084006
Zaiats1.67
0%won 0 of 3 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 2 of 3
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tkalich2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 32 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaiatsTkalichBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 115 / 26040%44.2%4 / 10 vs 115 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaiatsZaiats 1.67/Tkalich 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Zaiats · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkalich won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Zaiats10
WSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133LSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153LSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133WMar 24 · 07:35A. Borysov—691391M. Zaiats—111111113LMar 24 · 06:25B. Buriak—41111113M. Zaiats—115941LMar 23 · 12:50M. Zaiats—1191191I. Yanishevskiy—81113113
M. Tkalich10
WSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113LSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113LSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782LSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982LSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551LSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113WSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961LAug 30 · 12:05M. Tkalich3.402370S. Semenets1.301111113LAug 30 · 10:05O. Ponomarenko1.50591111113M. Tkalich2.5011114562
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