TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084146
Played Sep 6Finished
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210110119––––
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Tsoi to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Tsoi above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-0
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kostiantyn Tsoi at 80.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Tsoi 15–2 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Tsoi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-2 in 17
Tsoi
Correct
gap of 13 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tsoi 866 vs Kuzko 777
Tsoi
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsoi 60% vs Kuzko 20%
Tsoi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsoi 40% vs Kuzko 20%
Tsoi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsoi -2 · Kuzko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tsoi) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsoi form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsoi 1.28 / Kuzko 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Tsoi)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084146
Tsoi1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Kuzko3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 22 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTsoi8wins
AwayKuzko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTsoi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTsoi100%6 of 6
AwayKuzko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tsoi6Kuzko4n = 10Tsoi took 6 of 10
S2Tsoi8Kuzko2n = 10Tsoi took 8 of 10
S3Tsoi6Kuzko4n = 10Tsoi took 6 of 10
S4Tsoi3Kuzko1n = 4Tsoi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTsoiKuzkoT − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.929.2+7.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsoiKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 97 vs 43 / 18128.9%23.8%28 / 97 vs 43 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.31.4per matchAvg pointsper match32.433.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsoiTsoi 1.28/Kuzko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Tsoi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tsoi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi—1211113S. Kuzko—10090
WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi—1112113S. Kuzko—81070
WApr 11 · 09:30K. Tsoi—61111113S. Kuzko—115881
WMar 29 · 06:05K. Tsoi—11117113S. Kuzko—751131
LMar 21 · 06:30K. Tsoi—95100S. Kuzko—1111123
WMar 7 · 09:35K. Tsoi—131113113S. Kuzko—1531141
LFeb 1 · 13:05K. Tsoi—91190S. Kuzko—1113113
WJan 18 · 08:05K. Tsoi—1111113S. Kuzko—4370
WJan 3 · 12:30K. Tsoi—1311613123S. Kuzko—1171115102
WDec 27 · 09:00K. Tsoi—1111113S. Kuzko—7490
K. Tsoi10
LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550LSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00111141192K. Tsoi1.14135119113WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133LAug 15 · 05:00D. Kunchurov1.801112113K. Tsoi1.9141070WJun 20 · 10:30M. Mykhailenko4.336780K. Tsoi1.201111113
S. Kuzko10
LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032LAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070
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