TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037592
Played Aug 29Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189118111210113
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 94 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 76.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 26–14 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 14 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-14 in 40
Kunchurov
Correct
gap of 12 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 874 vs Kuzko 756
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 60% vs Kuzko 0%
Kunchurov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 50% vs Kuzko 10%
Kunchurov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov -1 · Kuzko -5
Kuzko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzko form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.25 / Kuzko 3.75
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Kunchurov)+4.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037592
Kunchurov1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 34 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Kuzko3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 22 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKunchurov9wins
AwayKuzko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKunchurov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurov90%9 of 10
AwayKuzkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov10Kuzko0n = 10Kunchurov took 10 of 10
S2Kunchurov6Kuzko4n = 10Kunchurov took 6 of 10
S3Kunchurov7Kuzko3n = 10Kunchurov took 7 of 10
S4Kunchurov4Kuzko1n = 5Kunchurov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKunchurovKuzkoKunchurov − KuzkoBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match37.926.6+11.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 197 vs 42 / 18637.1%22.6%73 / 197 vs 42 / 186Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKunchurov 1.25/Kuzko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov—119812113S. Kuzko—811111032
WAug 28 · 17:30D. Kunchurov—1111113S. Kuzko—8820
WAug 18 · 12:10D. Kunchurov—1111113S. Kuzko—4340
WAug 15 · 08:30D. Kunchurov—1111113S. Kuzko—5370
WJun 6 · 11:30D. Kunchurov—11115113S. Kuzko—981181
WJun 4 · 16:10D. Kunchurov—1111113S. Kuzko—8840
WMay 29 · 07:05D. Kunchurov—1111113S. Kuzko—6480
LMay 17 · 10:00D. Kunchurov—11111181S. Kuzko—81313113
WMay 16 · 09:30D. Kunchurov—11911113S. Kuzko—411561
WMay 12 · 09:30D. Kunchurov—11911113S. Kuzko—811961
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
S. Kuzko10
LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.071111113S. Kuzko7.508340
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.