TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031334
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113114––––
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
7.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched — 90.5% is still 90.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
90.5%
90.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 90.5%
48 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 19–0 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 0 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-0 in 19
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 19 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1111 vs Kuzko 778
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 334 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Kuzko 20%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 70% vs Kuzko 10%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -1 · Kuzko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.07 / Kuzko 7.50
Signal prob.91% / 10%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031334
Mykhalchenko1.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Kuzko7.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog22% won 21 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko10wins
AwayKuzko0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko100%9 of 9
AwayKuzkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko9Kuzko1n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko8Kuzko2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko9Kuzko1n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S4Mykhalchenko1Kuzko3n = 4Kuzko took 3 of 4
S5Mykhalchenko3Kuzko0n = 3Mykhalchenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKuzkoM − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.630.8+8.8per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 236 vs 41 / 18054.2%22.8%128 / 236 vs 41 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.833.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.07/Kuzko 7.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.5%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 1 · 13:05V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7560
WJan 18 · 12:35V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—78100
WSep 22 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—111011113S. Kuzko—812771
WSep 15 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111133S. Kuzko—96110
WSep 8 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1181211113S. Kuzko—811101372
WAug 13 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111103S. Kuzko—7770
WAug 11 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko—811116113S. Kuzko—11861152
WAug 6 · 08:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7790
WJul 30 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—11111110113S. Kuzko—88131292
WJul 28 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7950
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113
S. Kuzko10
LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032LAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592
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