TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079115
Played Sep 5Finished
Kyryl Vernudin
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Vernudin above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 82.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Vernudin 1–3 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Kyryl Vernudin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vernudin 967 vs Mykhalchenko 1127
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vernudin 100% vs Mykhalchenko 80%
Vernudin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vernudin 60% vs Mykhalchenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vernudin +5 · Mykhalchenko +1
Vernudin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vernudin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVernudin 4.33 / Mykhalchenko 1.20
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079115
Vernudin4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 8 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Mykhalchenko1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 34 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVernudin1wins
AwayMykhalchenko3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVernudin33.3%1 of 3
AwayMykhalchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vernudin3Mykhalchenko1n = 4Vernudin took 3 of 4
S2Vernudin1Mykhalchenko3n = 4Mykhalchenko took 3 of 4
S3Vernudin0Mykhalchenko4n = 4Mykhalchenko took 4 of 4
S4Vernudin1Mykhalchenko2n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVernudinMykhalchenkoV − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match31.842.2−10.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVernudinMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 39 vs 129 / 23135.9%55.8%14 / 39 vs 129 / 231Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoVernudin 4.33/Mykhalchenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.1%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 08:30K. Vernudin—8990V. Mykhalchenko—1111113
LAug 22 · 07:50K. Vernudin—11461152V. Mykhalchenko—911119113
LAug 9 · 07:05K. Vernudin—115641V. Mykhalchenko—71111113
WJul 12 · 15:08K. Vernudin—111123113V. Mykhalchenko—98111162
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113LAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771LAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990
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