TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037616
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Kyryl Vernudin
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Kyryl Vernudin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 75.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 2–1 Kyryl Vernudin Kyryl Vernudin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1107 vs Vernudin 876
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 60% vs Vernudin 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Vernudin 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +1 · Vernudin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vernudin form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.22 / Vernudin 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037616
Mykhalchenko1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Vernudin4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 7 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko2wins
AwayVernudin1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVernudin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko0Vernudin3n = 3Vernudin took 3 of 3
S2Mykhalchenko2Vernudin1n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
S3Mykhalchenko3Vernudin0n = 3Mykhalchenko took 3 of 3
S4Mykhalchenko2Vernudin1n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoVernudinM − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match45.333.7+11.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoVernudinBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 239 vs 9 / 3354.4%27.3%130 / 239 vs 9 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.834.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.22/Vernudin 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 22 · 07:50V. Mykhalchenko—911119113K. Vernudin—11461152
WAug 9 · 07:05V. Mykhalchenko—71111113K. Vernudin—115641
LJul 12 · 15:08V. Mykhalchenko—98111162K. Vernudin—111123113
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771LAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.