TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037666
Played Aug 29Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911811––––
Kyryl Vernudin
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeKyryl Vernudin to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Kyryl Vernudin below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Kyryl Vernudin at 65.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 1–2 Kyryl Vernudin Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vernudin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 779 vs Vernudin 929
Vernudin
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Vernudin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Vernudin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko +1 · Vernudin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vernudin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vernudin form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 2.50 / Vernudin 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Vernudin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037666
Mykhailenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 16 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Vernudin1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMykhailenko1wins
AwayVernudin2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVernudin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVernudin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko0Vernudin3n = 3Vernudin took 3 of 3
S2Mykhailenko1Vernudin2n = 3Vernudin took 2 of 3
S3Mykhailenko1Vernudin2n = 3Vernudin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoVernudinM − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match28.737.7−9.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoVernudinBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 83 vs 11 / 3624.1%30.6%20 / 83 vs 11 / 36Avg sets wonper match1.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match30.734.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VernudinMykhailenko 2.50/Vernudin 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Vernudin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vernudin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko—3980K. Vernudin—1111113
LAug 18 · 17:10M. Mykhailenko—9660K. Vernudin—1111113
WJul 12 · 16:39M. Mykhailenko—311119113K. Vernudin—11971192
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113LAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.2511881162D. Kunchurov1.57711112113
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113LAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771LAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
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