TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031523
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811811112611
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 56.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 7–6 Dmytro Kunchurov Dmytro Kunchurov has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 786 vs Kunchurov 873
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Kunchurov 60%
Kunchurov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Kunchurov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko -1 · Kunchurov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 2.25 / Kunchurov 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kunchurov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13031523
Mykhailenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 15 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Kunchurov1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 31 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailenko5wins
AwayKunchurov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayKunchurov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko7Kunchurov3n = 10Mykhailenko took 7 of 10
S2Mykhailenko3Kunchurov7n = 10Kunchurov took 7 of 10
S3Mykhailenko5Kunchurov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mykhailenko3Kunchurov3n = 6split evenly
S5Mykhailenko2Kunchurov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.1−1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 77 vs 70 / 19123.4%36.7%18 / 77 vs 70 / 191Avg sets wonper match1.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match30.735.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovMykhailenko 2.25/Kunchurov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:30M. Mykhailenko—9111111113D. Kunchurov—11139392
WAug 18 · 14:10M. Mykhailenko—11113113D. Kunchurov—481181
WAug 15 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—1115113D. Kunchurov—61390
WJul 19 · 08:35M. Mykhailenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—6770
LJul 12 · 11:10M. Mykhailenko—11911652D. Kunchurov—811811113
LJun 20 · 09:00M. Mykhailenko—101040D. Kunchurov—1212113
LJun 4 · 14:40M. Mykhailenko—1111841D. Kunchurov—91311113
LMay 10 · 08:05M. Mykhailenko—5880D. Kunchurov—1111113
WApr 25 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko—117711113D. Kunchurov—81111482
LApr 16 · 07:35M. Mykhailenko—12713652D. Kunchurov—10111111113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113LAug 29 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113M. Mykhailenko8.007770WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113LAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.