TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084278
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121181197111210
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 91.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 21–0 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 0 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-0 in 21
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 21 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1145 vs Kuzko 780
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 365 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Kuzko 60%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Kuzko 30%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -1 · Kuzko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.06 / Kuzko 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.7pp
Setka Cup · #13084278
Mykhalchenko1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 38 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Kuzko8.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 20 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko10wins
AwayKuzko0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko100%8 of 8
AwayKuzkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko8Kuzko2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko8Kuzko2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko10Kuzko0n = 10Mykhalchenko took 10 of 10
S4Mykhalchenko2Kuzko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKuzkoM − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.427.6+10.8per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 233 vs 43 / 18056.2%23.9%131 / 233 vs 43 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.033.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.06/Kuzko 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—91111113S. Kuzko—113731
WAug 28 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—8340
WMar 1 · 13:05V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7560
WJan 18 · 12:35V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—78100
WSep 22 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—111011113S. Kuzko—812771
WSep 15 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111133S. Kuzko—96110
WSep 8 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko—1181211113S. Kuzko—811101372
WAug 13 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111103S. Kuzko—7770
WAug 11 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko—811116113S. Kuzko—11861152
WAug 6 · 08:00V. Mykhalchenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7790
V. Mykhalchenko10
LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113WAug 29 · 10:30D. Kunchurov4.5071170V. Mykhalchenko1.171113113
S. Kuzko10
WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032LAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592LAug 28 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.071111113S. Kuzko7.508340
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