TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116942
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161161311––
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 76 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 79.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 11–2 Dmytro Kunchurov Dmytro Kunchurov has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1156 vs Kunchurov 912
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Kunchurov 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 90% vs Kunchurov 60%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +3 · Kunchurov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.28 / Kunchurov 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116942
Mykhalchenko1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 42 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Kunchurov3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko8wins
AwayKunchurov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko8Kunchurov2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko9Kunchurov1n = 10Mykhalchenko took 9 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko6Kunchurov4n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10
S4Mykhalchenko3Kunchurov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.931.9+7.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 226 vs 80 / 20856.6%38.5%128 / 226 vs 80 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.28/Kunchurov 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:35V. Mykhalchenko—661191D. Kunchurov—11119113
LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko—11116672D. Kunchurov—791111113
WAug 29 · 10:30V. Mykhalchenko—1113113D. Kunchurov—71170
WAug 28 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko—111110113D. Kunchurov—541251
WAug 23 · 17:30V. Mykhalchenko—11128113D. Kunchurov—6101181
WAug 22 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—8490
WJul 22 · 18:30V. Mykhalchenko—121111113D. Kunchurov—1061381
WJul 12 · 14:10V. Mykhalchenko—1411113D. Kunchurov—12590
WJun 14 · 14:10V. Mykhalchenko—1011116113D. Kunchurov—12661162
WMay 22 · 12:30V. Mykhalchenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—1790
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko1.4011912113M. Tkalich2.758111061WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102
Upcoming Matches
V. Mykhalchenko
D. Kunchurov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.