TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116569
Played Sep 12Finished
Stanislav Kuzko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111131181513––
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 77.1% is still 77.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
77.1%
77.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Kuzko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 81 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 77.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Kuzko 15–27 Dmytro Kunchurov Stanislav Kuzko has won 15 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kunchurov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-27 in 42
Kunchurov
Wrong
gap of 12 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzko 803 vs Kunchurov 912
Kunchurov
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzko 40% vs Kunchurov 60%
Kunchurov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzko 30% vs Kunchurov 70%
Kunchurov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzko -2 · Kunchurov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzko 3.40 / Kunchurov 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kunchurov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116569
Kuzko3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 22 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Kunchurov1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzko2wins
AwayKunchurov8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKunchurov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKunchurov80%8 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzko0Kunchurov10n = 10Kunchurov took 10 of 10
S2Kuzko3Kunchurov7n = 10Kunchurov took 7 of 10
S3Kuzko5Kunchurov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzko3Kunchurov2n = 5Kuzko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzkoKunchurovKuzko − KunchurovBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match29.437.9−8.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 180 vs 80 / 20823.9%38.5%43 / 180 vs 80 / 208Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKuzko 3.40/Kunchurov 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko—91111153D. Kunchurov—1138131
LSep 6 · 05:05S. Kuzko—311111162D. Kunchurov—111359113
LAug 29 · 07:30S. Kuzko—811111032D. Kunchurov—119812113
LAug 28 · 17:30S. Kuzko—8820D. Kunchurov—1111113
LAug 18 · 12:10S. Kuzko—4340D. Kunchurov—1111113
LAug 15 · 08:30S. Kuzko—5370D. Kunchurov—1111113
LJun 6 · 11:30S. Kuzko—981181D. Kunchurov—11115113
LJun 4 · 16:10S. Kuzko—8840D. Kunchurov—1111113
LMay 29 · 07:05S. Kuzko—6480D. Kunchurov—1111113
WMay 17 · 10:00S. Kuzko—81313113D. Kunchurov—11111181
S. Kuzko10
WSep 12 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko1.08117091S. Kuzko7.0071111113LSep 12 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.1061211133S. Kuzko1.6711108111LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032
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