TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117882
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleh Ponomarenko
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711011911––
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
7.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 90.0% is still 90.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Ponomarenko to win
90.0%
90.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Ponomarenko above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 0-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 67 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Ponomarenko at 90.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Ponomarenko 34–3 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 3 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Ponomarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-3 in 37
Ponomarenko
Wrong
gap of 31 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1021 vs Kuzko 803
Ponomarenko
Wrong
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 60% vs Kuzko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 40% vs Kuzko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko +2 · Kuzko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.08 / Kuzko 7.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117882
Ponomarenko1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite69% won 83 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Kuzko7.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 22 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePonomarenko9wins
AwayKuzko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayKuzko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko7Kuzko3n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10
S2Ponomarenko7Kuzko3n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10
S3Ponomarenko9Kuzko1n = 10Ponomarenko took 9 of 10
S4Ponomarenko4Kuzko1n = 5Ponomarenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoKuzkoP − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.727.1+8.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 649 vs 43 / 18046.4%23.9%301 / 649 vs 43 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.08/Kuzko 7.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
90%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko—117091S. Kuzko—71111113
WAug 25 · 08:35O. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Kuzko—7370
WAug 18 · 16:40O. Ponomarenko—11311113S. Kuzko—411661
WAug 15 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Kuzko—5950
WJun 6 · 09:30O. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Kuzko—4960
WMay 29 · 10:05O. Ponomarenko—91111113S. Kuzko—119881
WMay 17 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko—121111113S. Kuzko—144991
WMay 16 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Kuzko—3950
WMay 12 · 08:30O. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Kuzko—4570
WMay 10 · 05:35O. Ponomarenko—541111113S. Kuzko—11118862
O. Ponomarenko10
WSep 12 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.571111113M. Tkalich2.255780WSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871LAug 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.221112113O. Ponomarenko4.0011050WAug 30 · 10:05O. Ponomarenko1.50591111113M. Tkalich2.5011114562LAug 30 · 09:05O. Ponomarenko2.758370D. Khavanskyi1.401111113LAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113LAug 30 · 05:35O. Ponomarenko2.6310330S. Semenets1.441211113WAug 29 · 12:20V. Stukalov1.441111116102O. Ponomarenko2.63913611123LAug 29 · 11:20D. Khavanskyi1.33111158113O. Ponomarenko3.2579111172LAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830
S. Kuzko10
WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 12 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.1061211133S. Kuzko1.6711108111LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.