TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117493
Played Sep 12Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61112101181311––
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislav Kuzko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Stanislav Kuzko at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 4–7 Stanislav Kuzko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Kuzko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 751 vs Kuzko 777
Kuzko
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 20% vs Kuzko 40%
Kuzko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 30% vs Kuzko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko -1 · Kuzko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 2.10 / Kuzko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13117493
Mykhailenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 19 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Kuzko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 5 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailenko4wins
AwayKuzko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKuzko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuzko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko3Kuzko7n = 10Kuzko took 7 of 10
S2Mykhailenko4Kuzko6n = 10Kuzko took 6 of 10
S3Mykhailenko5Kuzko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mykhailenko4Kuzko3n = 7Mykhailenko took 4 of 7
S5Mykhailenko3Kuzko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoKuzkoM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.441.3−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 88 vs 43 / 18123.9%23.8%21 / 88 vs 43 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.21.4per matchAvg pointsper match31.233.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzkoMykhailenko 2.10/Kuzko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mykhailenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko—511511113S. Kuzko—11611592
WAug 28 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko—11111011113S. Kuzko—86121362
LAug 18 · 15:10M. Mykhailenko—116115102S. Kuzko—911511123
LAug 15 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko—612861S. Kuzko—111011113
LJun 4 · 11:10M. Mykhailenko—35111152S. Kuzko—111196113
LMay 10 · 12:05M. Mykhailenko—6380S. Kuzko—1111113
LApr 16 · 08:35M. Mykhailenko—69111192S. Kuzko—111175113
WApr 11 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—1111113S. Kuzko—8470
WMar 29 · 10:05M. Mykhailenko—922111123S. Kuzko—1111196102
LFeb 14 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko—2950S. Kuzko—1111113
M. Mykhailenko10
WSep 12 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.001112117113M. Tkalich1.1491481182LSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 09:00D. Kunchurov1.5075110M. Mykhailenko2.501111133LAug 29 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7571250M. Tkalich1.251114113
S. Kuzko10
WSep 12 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko1.08117091S. Kuzko7.0071111113WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.