TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155168
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214511211––––
Volodymyr Varchenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Volodymyr Varchenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 55 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Volodymyr Varchenko at 70.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 0–3 Volodymyr Varchenko Volodymyr Mykhalchenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Varchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Varchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1157 vs Varchenko 1179
Varchenko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 100% vs Varchenko 80%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 90% vs Varchenko 40%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +6 · Varchenko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Varchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 3.25 / Varchenko 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Varchenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155168
Mykhalchenko3.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Varchenko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 22 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko0wins
AwayVarchenko3wins
Varchenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVarchenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko0Varchenko3n = 3Varchenko took 3 of 3
S2Mykhalchenko1Varchenko2n = 3Varchenko took 2 of 3
S3Mykhalchenko0Varchenko3n = 3Varchenko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoVarchenkoM − VBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match22.735.7−13.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoVarchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 219 vs 102 / 22756.6%44.9%124 / 219 vs 102 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoMykhalchenko 3.25/Varchenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko1912520V. Varchenko361411113
LAug 9 · 10:05V. Mykhalchenko198830V. Varchenko331111113
LOct 4 · 12:05V. Mykhalchenko30911731V. Varchenko3811511113
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111WSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko1.4011912113M. Tkalich2.758111061WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580
V. Varchenko10
LSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152WSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113WSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540WSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961
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