TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155406
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811711––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 56.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 2–1 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1176 vs Khavanskyi 1210
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 80% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +1 · Khavanskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mykhalchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.44 / Khavanskyi 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155406
Mykhalchenko1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 46 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Khavanskyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko2wins
AwayKhavanskyi1wins
Mykhalchenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko2Khavanskyi1n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
S2Mykhalchenko1Khavanskyi2n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
S3Mykhalchenko2Khavanskyi1n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKhavanskyiM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match29.727.7+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 220 vs 159 / 31556.8%50.5%125 / 220 vs 159 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.44/Khavanskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 16 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko166370D. Khavanskyi331111113
WJul 14 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko351311113D. Khavanskyi2011630
WJul 9 · 09:00V. Mykhalchenko3811511113D. Khavanskyi30611761
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192WSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111WSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko1.4011912113M. Tkalich2.758111061WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113LSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113LSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets1.8371111972D. Khavanskyi1.83111711113WSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123
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