Volodymyr Mykhalchenko vs Vadym Kucheriavyi 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13155872

Played Sep 19Finished

Volodymyr Mykhalchenko

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1315113114411119

Vadym Kucheriavyi

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%

Graded at full time

Volodymyr Mykhalchenko to win

65.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below

Set 1 · 13-15

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 65.2%

92 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:17

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Kucheriavyi

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Mykhalchenko 1162 vs Kucheriavyi 1212

Kucheriavyi

Wrong

both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Mykhalchenko 60% vs Kucheriavyi 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Mykhalchenko 70% vs Kucheriavyi 50%

Mykhalchenko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Mykhalchenko -1 · Kucheriavyi +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mykhalchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMykhalchenko 2.20 / Kucheriavyi 1.61

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Kucheriavyi)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13155872

Mykhalchenko2.20

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 13 of 34

Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Kucheriavyi1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite46% won 25 of 54

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMykhalchenkoKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 221 vs 48 / 11756.6%41%125 / 221 vs 48 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kucheriavyi

Mykhalchenko 2.20/Kucheriavyi 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.7%

Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Mykhalchenko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Mykhalchenko10