TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711811118119411
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 55.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–3 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1368 vs Khalenko 1325
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Khalenko 80%
Khalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 70% vs Khalenko 50%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +2 · Khalenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.73 / Khalenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Mytsyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161227
Mytsyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 159 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 117 of 150
Khalenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMytsyk5wins
AwayKhalenko3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMytsyk leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhalenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk6Khalenko2n = 8Mytsyk took 6 of 8
S2Mytsyk3Khalenko5n = 8Khalenko took 5 of 8
S3Mytsyk5Khalenko3n = 8Mytsyk took 5 of 8
S4Mytsyk3Khalenko4n = 7Khalenko took 4 of 7
S5Mytsyk2Khalenko1n = 3Mytsyk took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMytsykKhalenkoM − KBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.837.1+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 1081 vs 182 / 35950%50.7%540 / 1081 vs 182 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.73/Khalenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk4178111142M. Khalenko50111189113
WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk6011121115113M. Khalenko4871451752
LAug 31 · 08:20O. Mytsyk32116871M. Khalenko4291111113
WAug 30 · 11:40O. Mytsyk4111118113M. Khalenko28731171
LAug 28 · 07:05O. Mytsyk37971381M. Khalenko44111111113
WAug 24 · 07:05O. Mytsyk331111113M. Khalenko166550
WAug 23 · 16:40O. Mytsyk4111811113M. Khalenko28711371
WAug 21 · 12:05O. Mytsyk41111152123M. Khalenko41451111102
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192WSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113
M. Khalenko10
LSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541WSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113WSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123LSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972
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