TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 79.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 0–7 Sergii Skhabitskiy Vitalii Mukhin has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1350 vs Skhabitskiy 1415
Skhabitskiy
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 20% vs Skhabitskiy 80%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 50% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin -2 · Skhabitskiy +3
Skhabitskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 4.33 / Skhabitskiy 1.20
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166122
Mukhin4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Skhabitskiy1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 100 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMukhin0wins
AwaySkhabitskiy7wins
Skhabitskiy leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkhabitskiy100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin1Skhabitskiy6n = 7Skhabitskiy took 6 of 7
S2Mukhin1Skhabitskiy6n = 7Skhabitskiy took 6 of 7
S3Mukhin2Skhabitskiy5n = 7Skhabitskiy took 5 of 7
S4Mukhin0Skhabitskiy4n = 4Skhabitskiy took 4 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricMukhinSkhabitskiyM − SBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match28.337.6−9.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 323 vs 475 / 106852%44.5%168 / 323 vs 475 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyMukhin 4.33/Skhabitskiy 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.9%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 21 · 06:35V. Mukhin216780S. Skhabitskiy331111113
LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin36911881S. Skhabitskiy4011711113
LJul 20 · 07:30V. Mukhin2147100S. Skhabitskiy341111123
LJul 19 · 13:40V. Mukhin207850S. Skhabitskiy331111113
LJun 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin28381161S. Skhabitskiy3911116113
LJun 17 · 13:40V. Mukhin34117881S. Skhabitskiy4181111113
LApr 23 · 20:50V. Mukhin388101191S. Skhabitskiy4311129113
V. Mukhin10
LSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113LSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590LSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113WSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113WSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113
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