TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191412811211
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 96 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 12–14 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ovsiienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1436 vs Mytsyk 1361
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 100% vs Mytsyk 60%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Mytsyk 60%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko +7 · Mytsyk +1
Ovsiienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 1.80 / Mytsyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166214
Ovsiienko1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 135 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it85% 110 of 129
Mytsyk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvsiienko6wins
AwayMytsyk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMytsyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko7Mytsyk3n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S2Ovsiienko3Mytsyk7n = 10Mytsyk took 7 of 10
S3Ovsiienko7Mytsyk3n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S4Ovsiienko5Mytsyk3n = 8Ovsiienko took 5 of 8
S5Ovsiienko2Mytsyk3n = 5Mytsyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoMytsykO − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.8−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 873 vs 538 / 107851.8%49.9%452 / 873 vs 538 / 1078Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoOvsiienko 1.80/Mytsyk 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:50O. Ovsiienko49361316112O. Mytsyk6011111114133
WSep 14 · 07:50O. Ovsiienko4012611113O. Mytsyk351011861
LSep 13 · 16:00O. Ovsiienko23102110O. Mytsyk361211133
LSep 3 · 07:50O. Ovsiienko3812711262O. Mytsyk511011811113
WSep 2 · 12:00O. Ovsiienko4311911123O. Mytsyk347116101
WAug 31 · 06:50O. Ovsiienko4211119113O. Mytsyk35781191
WAug 27 · 05:30O. Ovsiienko49119117113O. Mytsyk4681191172
LAug 26 · 13:30O. Ovsiienko3531161142O. Mytsyk50119118113
WAug 23 · 14:40O. Ovsiienko341111123O. Mytsyk1936100
WAug 21 · 08:05O. Ovsiienko54119118153O. Mytsyk42311411132
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Smyk1.50119491O. Ovsiienko2.5081111113WSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133
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